Below I made decision matrix for politicians in case of epidemic.
Maybe it will help them take better decisions and don't do as Boris Johnson did to act as in case#1 when in fact situation is more like in case#2
The case#4 is the chinese case after the declaration of epidemic.
Hard measures can include closing pubs, travel restrictions, fines,city lock down.
Maybe it will help them take better decisions and don't do as Boris Johnson did to act as in case#1 when in fact situation is more like in case#2
The case#4 is the chinese case after the declaration of epidemic.
Hard measures can include closing pubs, travel restrictions, fines,city lock down.
No infections | Big epidemic | |
---|---|---|
No measures | Case#1 Lives lost: 0 Economic loses: 0 Political situation: nothing changed |
Case#2 Lives lost: maximum Economic loses: maximum Political situation: people will blame you for doing nothing. Civil unrest |
Hard measures | Case#3 Lives lost:0 Economic loses: big Political situation: you can claim that your measures saved lives. People will be slighly discontent of you. Maybe they will forget about it at next elections |
Case#4 Lives lost: Political situation: you can claim that you did your best but nature was strong and people were dumb and didn’t respect order. You can convince people that is the fault of undisciplined personas who disobeyed the rules, and deflect the blame. Public discontent will be lower that in the case 2 and 3 |
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