1984 and France

I have seen the Manuel Valls interview. He said that emergency state should continue till Daesh is finished.But how do we know that is finished?
US sent Japanese nationals in camps in World War 2, till the Japan capitulated. After that they were sent home.
Valls can keep his extraordinary powers forever, because Daesh is a phantom state that it will never capitulate.
The situation will be like in George Orwells novel '1984' in which the state Oceania is forever at war with Euroasia, and from time to time rockets hit proletarian neighbourhoods to keep the state of fear.All to remind people that Big Brother is their protector, and they mus support the state.
The current situation is similar with the period of Weimar Republic before the rise of Hitler in Germany.
In 1930 German president Hindenburg appointed Henrich Bruning as Cancelor
Bruning governed using presidents special emergency powers, bypassing the Parliament.
He tried to solve economic problems with these new powers, but he failed.
As result Nazi' s gained 37% of places in Parliament and Hitler was chosen as Cancelor with extended powers which he used to gain the absolute power.
Manuel Valls wants more extraordinary powers to fight terrorism.
If  Front National wins the elections they could have prime minister with extended powers.
How they will use it?
All attackers from Paris were Muslim but not all the Muslims from France are terrorists, or they supporting terrorists, but they can be discriminated in getting jobs. I don't think that Front National will concern with that. And in few years France could have a more polarised population if Front National wins.
The conflicts between Arabs and French  can keep Front National in power for a long time.
Maybe the EU will sanction more often the French government for human rights abuse.
Maybe one day a France  will decide that it had enough interference from Bruxelles and will exit from EU.
With UK and France out of Union, the main power in EU will be Germany.
What France needs now it is a reform in its institutions, and its political class.
Unknown to us, besides rioting of arabs, there were rioting of french gipsies who blocked roads,rail and burned cars in Moirans.This shows a lack of respect of the law caused by the government inefficiency, I don't think that this will be solved in 3 months during the emergency state.
Socialist party criticized Sarkozy for the fact that the police didn't stopped a young muslim to kill 5 kids. If they would find a common ground to solve then the terrorism problem we would not have the 2015 attacks.
Strange now the socialist government has 2 major attacks in a year with 160 deaths and nobody is requesting resignation of ministry of interior and of the Valls government. Maybe opposition knows that situation is serious and they cannot solve it.

Funny note: M. Valls was asked by reporter if the Schengen treaty will die. He responded "Schengen treaty will not die, but EU can die" If EU will die Schengen treaty cannot survive.

France at war

In Romania now the old ladies are speaking about Muslim terrorism. It is a sign that we are in deep shit.
Cristian Tudor Popescu a Romanian journalist said that we are in World War 3 because ISIS has declared war to the world.
The war has began in already in Europe, but it is more  like a guerilla warfare.
If the classical guerilla warfare is war of local population against invaders, in France we have invaders who use guerilla warfare against the population and the state.
The irregular forces are sustained by the local population, or/and by the external power. But without support of local population we cannot have irregular forces, because they need intelligence, they need recruits and food.
The guerilla has 2 parts, the overt operation and the covert operation.
The overt operation are those who push the trigger, the covert part is assured by those who gather informations, gather supply, recruit and promote their ideology.
Because of the conditions in Europe, the part of overt guerilla is missing, till the terrorist act is carried out.
Another characteristic of this Muslim guerilla is the fact that  they are concentrated in cities where they can organize riots as in France 2006.
The French intelligence failed because they didn't disrupt the supply with weapons and explosives for terrorists from this covert guerilla.If you can't track 4000 terror suspects then focus on arms and explosives.
The state security begins with the police officer patrolling the street, who can limit the effectiveness of criminal gangs. Less effective criminal gangs less likely to transport AKM and bullets.

The guerilla tactic was expressed by Mao Tze Dung in the following phrase:
"If you are attacked, run, if the enemy stops, harass, if the enemy runs attack".
So the only option against a guerilla is to attack it continually. The decision of Hollande to attack ISIS is Syria was good.
Against irregular forces all the actions must be coordinated from a single point, so I would expect that in European democracies influence of the information services,police and the army increase, and the power to be more centralized.

Fragmented borders help terrorists to find refuge in other countries, so I expect that countries either will increase their border control, renouncing to Schengen agreement or they will unify their police forces. The easiest solution is border control.
Patrolling of the soldiers on the streets will be the norm in France.

I wonder if it will be used more radical methods against this guerilla warfare:
-search and seizure in the houses of the population supporting the guerilla, to confiscate arms and to intimidate people
-population displacement
-creating paramilitary forces from the civilians. I am not supporter of giving guns to people, but when you have many attacks and you cannot be everywhere, every time and you cannot prevent all the attacks, it makes sense to train and arm civilians. They are there and they will react faster, reducing the casualties.You transform them from victims to heroes.

If the French government cannot control the situation then the people will become more xenophobic and fascist, and the socialist will lose.
So in order for Hollande to stay in power he must become more oriented to the right.

The anarchism is the fifth column in Europe? But for who?

In Russian Civil War the White Army lost south of Ukraine because of Nestor Mahno, the anarchist ally of the Bolshevik Red army.
After the his victory over the Whites the Reds destroyed Mahno's army and Nestor Mahno fled the country.
Nestor Mahno was popular because he shared the land to the peasantry and he fought against tyranny, yet his aid for the Reds brought the most awful dictatorship on peasantry, and they lost their land forever.
The Charlie Hebdo's team was considered anarchist an communist, but I wonder if their attack on religion doesn't help the new totalitarianism: the Islamic fundamentalism?
In France and in Europe we have a divided majority of free thinkers and on the other side we have an well organized minority: the Islamic fundamentalists.
In Russia in Civil war we had divided majority of tsarist, liberals,anarchist, socialist, peasants and a united and well organized minority of Bolsheviks.
The fight between Muslims and Europeans helps Russia, because if Saudi Arabia rises the price of oil, the budget of Russia rises.
Because of that Obama wasn't present.
I wonder if it isn't the hand of Russia in this issue, we have American-Zionist conspiracies we crave for one from Russia.
Also the events from Paris endanger the support of Europe and especially of France for Palestine.

Le ministre de l' ínterieur et le premier ministre doit demissioner

En Etats Unis ou tu peut acheter un fusil a la magasin, les teroristes on du utiliser des couteaux ou explosifs pour faire des atentats.
En France ou le regime des armes de feu est plus stricte, les terroristes etait bien utiles, ils avait du Kalaschnikov, du lanceur du grenades,et plein des munitions. Et s' agissait des personnes conues par la police.
La police a eu chance parce un des teroristes a perdu son carte de identite,autrement les teroristes pouvait etre libre encore 24h.
Monsieur ministre de l'interieur ne avez pas fait votre boulot.
Monsieur prime ministre parce en avant vous avez ete ministre de l' interieur vous etes coupable aussi.
Monsieur Sarkozy avait raison, on doit fermer notres frontiers.
Je veux que Roumanie ferme ses frontiers.
Je ne veux pas que les terroristes venues de France de faire des attentats en Roumanie.

Types of conflict

There are 2 types of conflict: 1) constructive: when people compete to give the best solution or to give the best arguments for their ideas.
2) personal conflicts
First type of conflict generates novel solutions for the problems, the second type of conflict generates hate, war and destruction.
By our attitudes we can determine what type of conflict we will have.
Because the recent incidents from Paris made me think to types of conflicts, I will take as example the conflict between an atheist and a religious man.
The atheist despise the religious man rationality.
The religious despise the arrogance of the know all atheist.
Because of their views they are in conflict.
If the atheist says to the religious man "You are stupid because you worship a god which doesn't exists" then he will provoke the rage of the former, and he will create a personal conflict.
But if the atheist will ask the religious man "Why are you worshipping something that you don't see?"  he will create a conflict of opinions, which is beneficial for both.
The atheist might get some interesting questions. He might find out that in the practice of religion gives psychological soothing, that creates communities who help each other.
The religious man, may wonder if some of the rituals of his religion made sense.
It is conflict between West and Islam. No doubt. But we can make this conflict personal or constructive.

 In this conflict it is supposed that the West is more enlightened. So why the media from West  makes money by feeding with stereotypes a population that is more and more anti-emigration?
I didn't watched how the press from France treated the Arabs, but it seems that for a while Romanians were targets of the hate campaign from french press.
Someone said the arrow of truth should be covered with sweetness of a joke.
A joke it is when both parties are laughing.
I don't think a Christian laughed at these images published by Charlie Hebdo. What message they wanted to transmit? That they can slander anyone?
I cannot say "Je suis Charlie" because they belonged to a type of press that slandered and provoked personal conflicts for gaining money. They pissed on the beliefs of people. They didn't deserved to die.The duels for honour are gone in Europe.

In 1859 when the politician Ion Bratianu requested help from Napoleon III for unification of Moldova and Walachia in Romania, he said:
"Romania will be always your ally, Our harbours will be your harbours, our army will be your army".
In 1916 despite that we had a german king, we sided with France. Someone even said: "If Romania perishes it perishes a small country, if France perishes a civilisation is dying"
After the world war I, we gave France, Brancusi,Enescu, Eugen Ionescu,Mircea Eliade,Emil Cioran.
Even in communist times we had cordial relations with France. Till recent years the first foreign language taught in Romanian schools was French.
To destroy this century old friendship it was necessary a handful of beggars, some idiotic politicians and especially a slandering press.

The attackers from Charlie Hebdo were trained military experts

According to a man from military invited at television, the attackers were military trained.
Their shooting was very accurate and grouped.
They moved at ease in a formation similar with one of special forces.
Anyone can see that they were not shy to leave their car and shoot the police officers.
Maybe a less trained and a less experienced attacker would hide behind the car, or he would spray with bullets.
So there were not a lone wolfs, some islamists from France upset from the insults of Charlie Hebdo, who bought some pistols and attacked randomly people in the newspaper headquarters.
These people were professionals who received intelligence from other conspirators .
(They missed first time the address, this means that they didn't made themselves the surveillance, so there were also other conspirators who gathered information)
They swiftly  executed their plan and escaped, maybe toward some harbour, to leave the country a board of a ship.
It was a conspiracy who used spies,cars and houses from the French Muslim community.
This is more interesting to investigate.
I wonder how this was not detected by France intelligence.

How to defend a journal against armed fanatics

Today I found out about the murder of 12 people and injuring of other 11, in the attack against 'Charlie Hebdo' headquarters.
What can you do against an unknown attacker?

a) you increase your defences: 
More guards, concrete walls, body checks etc. This is not possible for a small journal.

b) you go undercover:
Maybe the press from the free world could learn something from the editors of "Inspire", the magazine for jihadist. They succeed printing issues despite the fact they are hunted down by USA.
Now you can publish on internet a journal with total anonymity.
The people are not necessary to meet in an public headquarters for  creating a magazine, they can use Skype, and e-mail.
The orders to the printing press can be done via intermediaries.
The correspondence can be received via a mailbox.
Don't publish information that can physically lead to you.