In Romania now the old ladies are speaking about Muslim terrorism. It is a sign that we are in deep shit.
Cristian Tudor Popescu a Romanian journalist said that we are in World War 3 because ISIS has declared war to the world.
The war has began in already in Europe, but it is more like a guerilla warfare.
If the classical guerilla warfare is war of local population against invaders, in France we have invaders who use guerilla warfare against the population and the state.
The irregular forces are sustained by the local population, or/and by the external power. But without support of local population we cannot have irregular forces, because they need intelligence, they need recruits and food.
The guerilla has 2 parts, the overt operation and the covert operation.
The overt operation are those who push the trigger, the covert part is assured by those who gather informations, gather supply, recruit and promote their ideology.
Because of the conditions in Europe, the part of overt guerilla is missing, till the terrorist act is carried out.
Another characteristic of this Muslim guerilla is the fact that they are concentrated in cities where they can organize riots as in France 2006.
The French intelligence failed because they didn't disrupt the supply with weapons and explosives for terrorists from this covert guerilla.If you can't track 4000 terror suspects then focus on arms and explosives.
The state security begins with the police officer patrolling the street, who can limit the effectiveness of criminal gangs. Less effective criminal gangs less likely to transport AKM and bullets.
The guerilla tactic was expressed by Mao Tze Dung in the following phrase:
"If you are attacked, run, if the enemy stops, harass, if the enemy runs attack".
So the only option against a guerilla is to attack it continually. The decision of Hollande to attack ISIS is Syria was good.
Against irregular forces all the actions must be coordinated from a single point, so I would expect that in European democracies influence of the information services,police and the army increase, and the power to be more centralized.
Fragmented borders help terrorists to find refuge in other countries, so I expect that countries either will increase their border control, renouncing to Schengen agreement or they will unify their police forces. The easiest solution is border control.
Patrolling of the soldiers on the streets will be the norm in France.
I wonder if it will be used more radical methods against this guerilla warfare:
-search and seizure in the houses of the population supporting the guerilla, to confiscate arms and to intimidate people
-population displacement
-creating paramilitary forces from the civilians. I am not supporter of giving guns to people, but when you have many attacks and you cannot be everywhere, every time and you cannot prevent all the attacks, it makes sense to train and arm civilians. They are there and they will react faster, reducing the casualties.You transform them from victims to heroes.
If the French government cannot control the situation then the people will become more xenophobic and fascist, and the socialist will lose.
So in order for Hollande to stay in power he must become more oriented to the right.
Cristian Tudor Popescu a Romanian journalist said that we are in World War 3 because ISIS has declared war to the world.
The war has began in already in Europe, but it is more like a guerilla warfare.
If the classical guerilla warfare is war of local population against invaders, in France we have invaders who use guerilla warfare against the population and the state.
The irregular forces are sustained by the local population, or/and by the external power. But without support of local population we cannot have irregular forces, because they need intelligence, they need recruits and food.
The guerilla has 2 parts, the overt operation and the covert operation.
The overt operation are those who push the trigger, the covert part is assured by those who gather informations, gather supply, recruit and promote their ideology.
Because of the conditions in Europe, the part of overt guerilla is missing, till the terrorist act is carried out.
Another characteristic of this Muslim guerilla is the fact that they are concentrated in cities where they can organize riots as in France 2006.
The French intelligence failed because they didn't disrupt the supply with weapons and explosives for terrorists from this covert guerilla.If you can't track 4000 terror suspects then focus on arms and explosives.
The state security begins with the police officer patrolling the street, who can limit the effectiveness of criminal gangs. Less effective criminal gangs less likely to transport AKM and bullets.
The guerilla tactic was expressed by Mao Tze Dung in the following phrase:
"If you are attacked, run, if the enemy stops, harass, if the enemy runs attack".
So the only option against a guerilla is to attack it continually. The decision of Hollande to attack ISIS is Syria was good.
Against irregular forces all the actions must be coordinated from a single point, so I would expect that in European democracies influence of the information services,police and the army increase, and the power to be more centralized.
Fragmented borders help terrorists to find refuge in other countries, so I expect that countries either will increase their border control, renouncing to Schengen agreement or they will unify their police forces. The easiest solution is border control.
Patrolling of the soldiers on the streets will be the norm in France.
I wonder if it will be used more radical methods against this guerilla warfare:
-search and seizure in the houses of the population supporting the guerilla, to confiscate arms and to intimidate people
-population displacement
-creating paramilitary forces from the civilians. I am not supporter of giving guns to people, but when you have many attacks and you cannot be everywhere, every time and you cannot prevent all the attacks, it makes sense to train and arm civilians. They are there and they will react faster, reducing the casualties.You transform them from victims to heroes.
If the French government cannot control the situation then the people will become more xenophobic and fascist, and the socialist will lose.
So in order for Hollande to stay in power he must become more oriented to the right.
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