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miercuri, 21 octombrie 2015

European office for migration

The EU bureaucrats have use their imagination to invent different committees, but they miss an office to handle the emigration towards Europe,
With imposed quota of emigrants, the  Eastern Europeans  are afraid that the Western states will dump all the unwanted refugees in their countries.
And the refugees that put their hopes in reaching Germany will arrive in Romania.
This will create tensions between locals wary of these emigrants that they were forced to accept and the grumpy refugees who see their hopes shattered.
Germany and Sweden cannot accept all the refugees and some of them must be distributed in all Europe, but how to make this without herding people into trains like Hitler and Stalin did?
You send some of the refugees in Poland for example but how you keep them there?
The solution is to distribute them directly from the refugee camps from Turkey or Liban.
You can make there an office for processing paper of refugees.
Each country, will specify a quota of refugees. Let's say Romania will accept 1000 and Germany 100000.
Many refugees will apply for Germany and in this case the process will be slow, and few of them will apply for Romania, in this case the process will be faster.
If you are sick and tired of a refugee camp and you will want to get out of there you will find appealing the faster route to Romania. So the humanitarian cases will arrive in Romania, and they will be supported by EU.
The economic migrants will arrive in Germany were they need workforce, and they will strengthen the economy.
After the refugee will be accepted he will be sent in destination country where he will have the right to work, in order to self sustained.
The paper work will be done by European functionaries from countries different from the destination.
Germans will process papers for Romania, and Romanians will process paper work for Germans. So neither country will slow down artificially the process.
The advantages are clear:
- we avoid human trafficking across
- we ease the burden on Lebanon and Turkey
- we distribute the refugees across Europe
- we have the agreement of the refugees for moving in respective countries.
To stop migration from East we must suspend also the Schengen treaty.

luni, 29 septembrie 2014

Ukraine under energetic siege

Russia cut the gas to Ukraine,Hungary did the same, the Donbas, region the source of Ukranian coal is in the hands of separatists (Russians), today a railroad in Odessa is blown up, maybe to cut of the port from the rest of the country.
The goal is clear: deprive Ukraine population from electricity and energy in the middle of the winter, destroy the economy, maybe people will rise against Poroshenko, and make the situation unstable at least. In this situation what are Ukraine options?
Ukraine consumed 70,246 millions metric tonnes of coal in 2008, At a price of 70$/metric tonne it will need 4,9 billion dollars for coal only.
Let's suppose that Odessa port will be cut off, and Ukraine cannot use it for imports, then the next step is to transport it by rail.
But Ukraine is using the rail broad gauge of 1,524 m while Romania,Poland,Slovakia and Hungary have standard gauge of 1,435 m.
So the wagons must change their wheels when they cross the border, this slowing down the transport.
If you look on this map you will see that Ukraine has very thin connections with countries from its west.
Should Ukraine change it's rail tracks? No, because its broad gauge allows bigger wagons and heavier loads can be transported. Even Austrians wanted to build a  broad gauge line between Kosice and Viena.
An interesting article which describes the rationale of choosing the rail gauge.

Poland with its production of 217,7 million metric tonnes can be a source of coal, if the Ukraine and Poland rail systems are connected.And this can be done: the Lublin basin is 200km west from Ukranian border. At a cost of 2 million $/km, it will cost 400 millions this means 8% of the value of the coal that can be exported in year in Ukraine (4,9 billions).