If the intention of Russia is to swallow Belarus, then it is the right time.
If the revolutionaries over throw Lucashenko and a civil conflict continues, then Putin can intervine to reestablish order, like he did in Donetsk
If Lucashenko wins he will between EU pressure to comply with elections and Putin pressure to subordinate Moscow even more.
If he submits to Putin, then he will keep his job.
In this economic crisis, it is hard to find a job as a dictator.
There are technologies that improve resource extraction like steam powered water pumps who improved coal extraction and technologies that increase consumption of the resources like the steam locomotive who used coal.
I think our technologies have developed to increase consumption, every body pick the best fruits from supermarket, everyone wants air conditioning units, everybody wants big cars, new clothes, new cell phones.
Truck and planes haul food from all over the world but food productivity is stagnant.
Other extraction technologies such as mining and oil drilling are stagnant. They don't provide enough.
Because the extractive technologies don't keep the pace with consumptive energies, there will be a shift towards extractive technologies development.
The consumption will be reduced in 2 ways, quantity will be reduced, number of brands will be reduced.
In rally car there are 2 seats one for pilot and one for co-pilot.
The pilot drives the car, the co-pilot says what turn is next. Left 30 degrees, right 60 degrees.
In this way the pilot focus on driving and doesn't waste time to take decisions and can go faster.
Who is the manager in this case ? The pilot who has the throttle and the wheel or the co-pilot who gives orders ?
The real management should be like co-piloting: detachment from actual implementation, forward looking and trusted.
The employee who doesn't receives from manager a clear direction is like a pilot without a co-pilot: he has to drive slower to be careful about turns. He will finish the race but it will lose.
People build houses without managers, but if you need to build the pyramids, the great wall of China, Hagia Sofia or any other big project you need good managers.
Anarchists and libertarians are against hierarchical structures, but without hierarchical structures in which someone must be separated from actual implementation in look forward we would live today in mud huts.
But as we saw in Stalin's,Hitler and Mao's case, wrong guy in top of a hierarchy can do more harm than good.
Here comes the power relations: the pilot and co-pilot are not subordinates,are dependent of each other one drives and another give directions, and wrong teams are eliminated from competition.
So roles must be separated but a interdependence must be between actors and team must be set under competitive pressure.
The democracy separated the power of the state and made a dependence between government and people. Electoral system weeds out the combinations that don't work.
But if the co-pilot is not believed the democracy is losing the race.
In dictatorship we see the opposite: concentration of power, dependence, no selective pressure from inside the country and if the country is big enough no selection from outside either.
The direction is clear, but wrong, the pilot is not motivated to drive fast enough.
