If the intention of Russia is to swallow Belarus, then it is the right time.
If the revolutionaries over throw Lucashenko and a civil conflict continues, then Putin can intervine to reestablish order, like he did in Donetsk
If Lucashenko wins he will between EU pressure to comply with elections and Putin pressure to subordinate Moscow even more.
If he submits to Putin, then he will keep his job.
In this economic crisis, it is hard to find a job as a dictator.
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