vineri, 7 februarie 2025

No China US war for next 4 years, because of Trump

 Those who claim that China will invade Taiwan next week and start a war with US think as Europeans or Americans.

Chinese are thinking differently.

They are long term thinkers.

In US and to some extent in Europe the Chinese stereotype is of one a person's who excels in intellectual endeavours.

And those intelectual endeavours require patience and long term commitment.

Also I know a Chinese story about a butcher who never sharped his knife.

Sun Tzu says that you should start a battle when you won it before.

So why CCP should hurry to attack now?

When it could wait 4 years till Trump and Musk run everything a ground and US doesn't have allies.

When US will be weak with internal fights then it will offer Taiwan a offer that they can't refuse.

China attacked India a greater foe but it didn't conquered Macao a city 'defended' by a small and weak Portugal.

It preferred to take it peacefully because it was more effective.

I think a resurgence of US after Trump will trigger a war with China, because China will not see another opportunity.

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