miercuri, 18 iunie 2025

Pollard Spy case and why US won't invade Iran

 In the '80 it was a navy office, Pollard who gave Israel US classified information. He was caught and severely punished. It was US message to Israel to not take their friendship for granted.

Maybe Israel took this time US friendship for granted if they attacked Iran without consulting with US.

There are 2 reasons why US won't invade Iran:

1. If it commits it's forces there it leaves Taiwan unprotected and China will seize the opportunity to take it.

Losing Taiwan, Chinese submarines can approach undetected from US west coast, and Chinese navy will roam free in Pacific.

If US responds to China, it is WW3 and US will be stretched in Ukraine,Iran and China

2. British and French controlled their colonies by antagonizing the local tribes and being kind of referee. 

US has the same role between Israel, Saudi Arabia and Iran.

If Iran is gone, those countries don't need US.

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