sâmbătă, 30 iunie 2018

Difference between tribalism and democracy

Till the end of second civil in England the poor and the weak carried fights for heir lords. Peasants were force to conscript, poor people sold they warrior skills as mercenaries.
Once the parliamentarian regime was established the situation reversed: classes and group of interests fought in parliament using members of parliament. A member of the elite fought with words and persuasion for a group that support him, similar like a king against another king in middle age when they tried to avoid bloodshed between armies.
In this way the conflict was brought from society into parliament.
What happens when you cannot solve the problems in parliament? Like now when a majority ignores all common sense and avoid dialogue with opposition?
The conflict goes into the streets, groups are pitied one against another and they form tribes, which eventually try to kill one each other.
The parliamentarian know each other well and it unlikely that will to kill one each other, while the members of the tribes they don't know each other   and they avoid one each other so the likelyhood that the violence will burst is increasing.
A good parliamentarian regime prevents a civil war.

miercuri, 20 iunie 2018

Soft power

In 1939 a polish boy flee his country, to find shelter in Romania against nazi and soviets.
He lived a happy childhood a nice Moldavian village till 1945 when he returned to Poland.
In 1968 he was an officer in Warsaw pact headquarters.
The soviets discussed the invasion of Romania to punish Nicolae Ceausescu for having the nerve to condemn the invasion of Czechoslovakia from the same year.
Finding out about the date and details, he slipped these informations to the country that had provided him a happy childhood.
I am thinking at 2000 children who are separated  from their immigrant parents.
How they will react to USA if they will be send back, or if they will remain.
If they will remain more likely they will be alienated from society, if they will leave they could join the drug cartels who sell drugs in US.
Every man that you upset it is a lost opportunity.
USA the land of opportunities kicked out 2000 of them.

luni, 18 iunie 2018

Fate in humanity

You can say about human race that is selfish and cruel but you cannot say that is stupid.
We couldn't survive and thrive if we were stupid.
I think when all the things will go bad, and everyone will be affected in directly in same way, we will do the right thing that the human specie will survive.
We did it with nuclear weapons, we did it with ozone layer and CFC, we did it with lead gasoline.
With these problems it was easier because we had more control and we had options to stop production.
Nuclear weapons were concentrated in hand of few countries (USA,Soviet,Union,China,France and UK)
CFC compounds and lead gasoline  were produced by few.
Also once you removed the CFC and lead gasoline from system this went to normal.
CO2 is produced by many and doesn't affect clearly the life as the nuclear weapons. Also if we don't produce anymore CO2 the response of the system will be slower, it could take decades to come to normal.
We start to lose a lot of money because of climate warming, this will trigger an economic crisis this will reduce consumption, will reduce CO2, and save life
This economic crisis will be the worst to come, emigrants from Africa and Middle East will pour in Europe, China will experience big internal troubles. In general the more populated will be an area, and more incompetent will be the government the worst will be the problems.
USA will have the standard of living lower than now.
The global economy will be history.
But this crisis will save the world, because it will re-balance the consumption and will force people to cooperate, to find solutions.

vineri, 15 iunie 2018

What is really backing fiat money

The critics of fiat money and supporters of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are saying that the government printed money have value because we agree upon it. At first sight it seems true, but the fiat money cannot have the value 0 as the cryptocurrencies can have because, there will be always a demand for fiat money from government.
The government demands that the taxes to be payed in current currency, if you don't pay your taxes your good will be seized and sold, and if you opposed you be arrested, if you opposed you can be shot.
So fiat money are supported in fact by the barrel of the gun.

duminică, 10 iunie 2018

What is politics

Suppose you want to punch someone in the face for whatever reason.
If you punch him, the public will intervene to stop you and maybe you be arrested by police.
But instead if you convince that your enemy is a baby killer, a nationalist warmonger, a stoned hippy, a cosmopolitan traitor, a womaniser and a homosexual in same time, the public not only that it will take your side but a bonus, it will lynch you enemy to the nearest tree.
This all the politicians do, they incite the public against their enemies so that they have the hands clean.
In this game, we have the target (the person to be removed),the public, the message to incite the public, the channels, the politicians who stays in the shadow and those who gain fro he turns of events.
The target, the public and the message are clear.
What is not visible are the channels and the politician who benefits.

joi, 21 decembrie 2017

Adrian Nastase si republica procurorilor, sau ce semeni aia culegi

Ma uitam aseara pe TVR 1 la 'Romania 9' a lui Cristache si invitat era Adrian Nastase care deplangea republica procurorilor, si ca unele cauze penale sunt folosite in interes politic, pentru a elimina din competitia politica politiciani nedoriti. Mai ca nu a spus "redati-mi drepturile politice pentru a reveni acolo unde imi este locul: la conducerea voastra" dar sa multumit sa-s exprime speranta ca actualele modificari ale justitiei vor permite ca sa nu mai fie interzise drepturi politice.
In 2002 se declanseaza scandalul Armageddon,  in care Mugur Ciuvica transmite diferitelor ambasade din romania  detalii despre afacerile necurate a lui Adrian Nastase. Mugur Ciuvica foloseste fara stirea unui prieten Ovidiu Iane contul acestuia de email.
Ciuvica este arestat,
Ovidiu Iane este anchetat de procuratura iar o parte din interogatoriu este transmis la televizor.
Ovidiu Iane neaga ca ar fi trimis el, spune ca Ciuvica i-a folosit contul de email.
Dar printre acuzatiile care i se aduc lui Ovidiu Iane este ca folosea programe fara licenta, cand in 2002,  90% din oameni nu aveau licente la software, iar el nu fusese arestat pentru asta.
Asta nu e proces penal instrumentat politic?
Va plangeti ca v-au luat cu catuse in fata camerelor?
Dar cum e sa-ti fie dat la TV interogatoriul in care esti pus la colt si umilit pentru ca ai trimis un mail?
Domnule Nastase, ati avut puterea sa faceti bine, puteati sa puneti punct atunci la "republica procurorilor". Dar ametit de straturile superioare ale puterii nu v-a trecut prin cap ca puteti cadea   si ajunge in malaxorul procuraturii. Daca ati citit ceva istorie ati citit-o degeaba, garda pretoriana a omorat mai multi imparati decat poporul Romei.
PS. Urmarea scandalului Armagedon: Ciuvica a dat in judecata procurorii care l-au anchetat stalinist, parchetul a dat neinceprea urmaririi penale, decizie care a fost infirmata de Laura Codruta Kovesi procurorul general de atunci. Daca acum este republica procurorilor, ce era atunci? Monarhia procurorilor?

vineri, 1 decembrie 2017

Book review: "Il ritorno del principe" de Saverio Lodato,Roberto Scarpinato

Din intamplare azi de ziua nationala voi face review-ul unei carti despre mafia si clasa politica italiana: "Il ritorno del principe. La criminalita dei potenti in Italia"

Si vorba imnului: "Că-n aste mâni mai curge un sânge de roman," clasa noastra politica se apropie de cea italiana foarte mult. 
Cartea descrie o istorie a evolutiei mafiei in context istoric si international.
Principele in cartea aceasta este sistemul despotic si amoral descris de Machiavelli in secolul 16 care in opinia autorului conduce Italia de-a pururi si doar recent a luat o fata constitutionala.
Contrar parerii generale mafia nu a fost o organizatie antisistem formata din infractori care s-au organizat impotriva puterii statului, ci a facut parte integranta din sistemul feudal de conducere din Sicilia. 
Mafiotii au fost bratul inarmat al latifundiarilor sicilieni, si aveau rolul de a reprima miscarile taranesti si a tine sub control infractorii locali.
Odata cu decaderea latifundiarilor, mafiotii au preluat averile acestora dar au mentinut aceiasi politica de control prin teroare.
Clasa feudala a intrat in declin si s-a ridicat burghezia care a preluat structurile mafiote.
Apoi agricultura a intrat in declin si mafia s-a orientat spre oras de unde veneau noii bani, de acolo recoltau banii din taxe de protectie, afaceri imobiliare si din deturnarea lucrarilor publice.
In carte se spune si cat cat pretindeau mafiatii din lucrari: 2% lua mafia,2% luau politicienii si 0.5% luau functionarii (Mult mai putin decat iau acuma politicienii nostri)

Interesant este ca mafia nu este formata numai din brute, este formata si din gulere albe, avocati,doctori,ingineri care controleaza mafia asa zis militara care e trimisa sa intimideze si sa ucida. (Scarpinato povesteste cum un onorat doctor dupa eliberarea din inchisoare pentru  asociere mafiota se intalnea seara cu elita locala, de avocati doctori,politicieni si apoi seara se intalnea cu drojdia societatii, cu criminalii de joasa speta care le faceau treaba murdara)
Mafia militara este recrutata din cartierele sarace din sud, si pe langa rolul de intimidare are rolul si de a controla clasele sarace sa nu intre peste elita bogata.

Scarpinato spune ca in interiorul grupurilor mafiote este o altfel de etica: daca cineva coopereaza cu justitia este marginalizat, daca face puscarie si se intoarce este primit din nou in grup. Asta se intampla si in cadrul gulerelor albe: in intreprinzator care a refuzat sa plateasca  taxa de protectie si a cerut ajutorul autoritatilor a fost parasit de toti "prietenii".

Acelasi lucru se vede si in PSD unde disciplina de partid este mai puternica decat respectarea legilor. Toti politicienii care au fost sustinuti de partid: Bivolaru,Nastase si Dragnea, au fost condamnati. Intr-un stat normal intr-un partid normal, ori si-ar fi dat demisia or ar fi fost demisi, deoarece afectau imaginea partidului.

Interesanta este similitudinea de evenimente din Italia si cea din Romania:
Mafiotii erau bratul inarmat al unei puteri absolutiste feudale care controla economia locala. Dupa decaderea acestora au preluat controlul.
In 89 Ceausescu controla toata tara, dupa caderea sa oameni din partid si securitate au preluat controlul asupra economiei.
Italia a avut parte de masacrul de la Portella impotriva muncitorilor, noi avut parte de masacrul de dupa 22 decembrie 89 impotriva demonstrantilor si de mineriadele impotriva opozitiei.
La inceputul secolului XX niste deputati italieni implicati intr-un scandal financiar s-au prevalat de imunitatea parlamentara pentru a scapa de justitie.
Curtea constitutionala i-a sustinut.
La inceputul secolului XXI niste parlamentari romani, gen Bivolaru,Dragnea s-au folosit de acelasi mijloc pentru a scapa de justitie.
Curtea constitutionala nu a zis nimic.
In Italia s-au ciuntit legile anti mafie si s-a incercat distrugerea cooperari intre magistratii antimafie in anii 80, la noi se incearca acelasi lucru cu legile anticoruptie si cooperarea intre servicii si procuratura.
In 2006 in Italia s-au eliberat cateva mii de detinuti pentru datorita aglomerarii, iar printre cele cateva mii au fost destui mafioti, in 2017 s-au eliberat cel putin 1500 de puscariasi pentru conditii improprii, care puteau fi rezolvate de mult.
In anii '80 si '90 s-a declansat o campanie impotriva magistratilor anti-mafie, in anii 2000 s-a declansat la o campanie impotriva "republicii procurorilor", impotriva DNA impotriva lui Kovesi.
Nordul Italiei se dezvolta mai repede decat sudul si tinde sa se separe (anul asta au fost 2 referendumuri de autonomie in Lombardia si Veneto, cel din Veneto fiind valid).
Transilvania si Banatul se dezvolta mai repede decat restul tarii si sunt voci (gen Sabin Gherman) care zic ca le-ar merge mai bine fara regateni.

Ca si fapt divers in 2003 Mischie seful CJ Dolj s-a infratit cu Sicilia, se pare ca au avut ce invata de la colegii sicilieni, actualii politicieni din PSD.

La multi ani Sicilia de ziua ta! Oops, vroiam sa zic Romania