luni, 14 aprilie 2014

Understanding Putin

I just read the book "The Wisdom of Psychopaths" by Kevin Dutton and one chapter is analyzed the chicken game from movie "Rebel without a cause" .
In the book the chicken game is analyzed using a decision matrix from game theory.
Instead of Buzz and Jim in the matrix I will put Putin and NATO:
Putin non-psychopath Putin psychopath
NATO non-psychopath Ukraine is neutral or the influence is shared NATO refrains from use of force.Putin gains Crimea and tries to get more from Ukraine
NATO psychopath NATO pushes troops near Russia.Seeks to gain 100% influence in Ukraine,Belarus. Russia refrains from intervention, it is defensive,increases military budget. Direct war over Ukraine. World war 3 has just began.
It is clear that NATO cannot be psychopathic because of collective nature of decisions. This reduces the risk of an impulsive decision.And thanks to that we don't have yet WW3
But Putin it is in a ideal position for a psychopath: alone with all the power, surrounded by yes-men who obey to his whims.
The author Kevin Dutton has discovered that secret service work is ideal for psychopaths, because some jobs require to manipulate,cheat,steal and kill without being hindered by emotions or remorse. According to the book James Bond is a psychopath.
Putin was a KGB agent, he is an egomaniac who likes to be photographed shooting tigers,riding horses and flying planes. He doesn't show emotions in general.
If Putin is psychopath he will continue to defy and provoke the West, using peoples as pawns in a game to regain the strength of Russia, but he will risk ending up like Buzz, into the flames, because we doesn't understands and despises a democratic society.

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