France at war

In Romania now the old ladies are speaking about Muslim terrorism. It is a sign that we are in deep shit.
Cristian Tudor Popescu a Romanian journalist said that we are in World War 3 because ISIS has declared war to the world.
The war has began in already in Europe, but it is more  like a guerilla warfare.
If the classical guerilla warfare is war of local population against invaders, in France we have invaders who use guerilla warfare against the population and the state.
The irregular forces are sustained by the local population, or/and by the external power. But without support of local population we cannot have irregular forces, because they need intelligence, they need recruits and food.
The guerilla has 2 parts, the overt operation and the covert operation.
The overt operation are those who push the trigger, the covert part is assured by those who gather informations, gather supply, recruit and promote their ideology.
Because of the conditions in Europe, the part of overt guerilla is missing, till the terrorist act is carried out.
Another characteristic of this Muslim guerilla is the fact that  they are concentrated in cities where they can organize riots as in France 2006.
The French intelligence failed because they didn't disrupt the supply with weapons and explosives for terrorists from this covert guerilla.If you can't track 4000 terror suspects then focus on arms and explosives.
The state security begins with the police officer patrolling the street, who can limit the effectiveness of criminal gangs. Less effective criminal gangs less likely to transport AKM and bullets.

The guerilla tactic was expressed by Mao Tze Dung in the following phrase:
"If you are attacked, run, if the enemy stops, harass, if the enemy runs attack".
So the only option against a guerilla is to attack it continually. The decision of Hollande to attack ISIS is Syria was good.
Against irregular forces all the actions must be coordinated from a single point, so I would expect that in European democracies influence of the information services,police and the army increase, and the power to be more centralized.

Fragmented borders help terrorists to find refuge in other countries, so I expect that countries either will increase their border control, renouncing to Schengen agreement or they will unify their police forces. The easiest solution is border control.
Patrolling of the soldiers on the streets will be the norm in France.

I wonder if it will be used more radical methods against this guerilla warfare:
-search and seizure in the houses of the population supporting the guerilla, to confiscate arms and to intimidate people
-population displacement
-creating paramilitary forces from the civilians. I am not supporter of giving guns to people, but when you have many attacks and you cannot be everywhere, every time and you cannot prevent all the attacks, it makes sense to train and arm civilians. They are there and they will react faster, reducing the casualties.You transform them from victims to heroes.

If the French government cannot control the situation then the people will become more xenophobic and fascist, and the socialist will lose.
So in order for Hollande to stay in power he must become more oriented to the right.

Masele si puterea #colectiv

La moartea lui Cezar, Marc Antoniu si Octavian au folosit masele indurerate, pentru le coaliza impotriva lui  Brutus, si al alunga din Roma.
Similar in 2015 in noiembrie forte politice necunoscute se folosesc de moartea tinerilor pentru a dizloca de la putere persoane mai urate decat Brutus.
Elias Canetti in cartea sa "Masele si puterea" spunea ca mai intai se formeaza un alai de plangere, apoi se creaza o multime in actiune. Iar cand oamenii se aduna vor sa faca ceva, este o anumita stare de asteptare.
Faptul ca sistemul  i-a sacrificat pe Ponta,Oprea,Popescu-Piedone a fost o miscare inteligenta si de bun simt, dar nu cred ca e de ajuns.
Toate partidele au ajuns la guvernare pentru a-si demonstra incompetenta.
Niste alegeri anticipate acum, i-ar avantaja pe cei pregatiti sa ia puterea, PNL si cine mai agita apele in strada. La Revolutie s-a intamplat ceva similar, tinerii l-au dat jos pe Ceausescu si politrucii lui Iliescu, care se pregateau de ani de zile, au insfacat puterea.
Nu vreau ca din siajul revoltei populare sa mai apara alti "emanati"
Cred ca niste alegeri la timpul lor, ar da timp societatii civile sa se organizeze, iar partidelor sa se reformeze, sa mai impinga in spate pe un urmarit penal. (Ma gandesc la tine PSD)
Pana la alegeri s-ar putea reforma sistemul electoral si s-ar reduce numarul de parlamentari, astfel incat sa avem un parlament curat si uscat.

Ziduri de hartie

In cartea "Vrajitorul din Oz" Leului Fricos i se da o medalie de bravura si devine curajos. Omului de Tinichea i se da suflet, Sperietorii de Ciori i se da minte.
Asemeni Tarii lui Oz in  Romania incompetenti si plagiatorilor li se dau doctorate, pe modelul Elenei Ceausescu.
Elevii cumpara note la BAC si studentii diplome.
Medici care au copiat a examen baga in mormant oameni.
Politistii de circulatie se urca beti la volan, crezand ca daca nu este cineva sa-i pedepseasca nu pot ajunge intr-un sant.
Proprietarii de cluburi cumpara acte de infiintare crezand poate ca sunt in regula si nu se poate intampla nimic.
Romania a devenit un sat a lui Potiomkin in care hartiile au devenit ziduri in fata realitatii. Ziduri in spatele carora, fortele vrasmase ale naturii, se pregatesc sa ne distruga.
Concentrati pe bani si pe profit, patronii au ignorat natura si pericolul adus de niste artificii in spatiu inchis.Poate barul "Colectiv" ar fi fost in functiune si azi daca proprietariilor le-ar fi pasat de clienti si ar fi tinut seama de realitatea ca izolatia poate lua foc usor.Crezand ca singurul pericol vine din partea autoritatilor ei si au creat propriul zid hartie.
In anarhie nu ai justitie si nu iti trebuie hartii. Justitia se face cu pumnul, pistolul sau cutitul. Justitia este imediata si violenta. Pentru a se proteja oamenii se asociaza in clanuri care pot duce o vendeta ani de zile, impiedicand crearea unui stat care sa faca fata dusmanilor externi.

Intr-un stat functional, ai justitie si ai nevoie de o reprezentare a realitatii pentru a judeca la rece chestiunea, de a impiedica o escaladare a violentelor. Folosirea violentei este rezervata exclusiv statului, si exclusiv in limitele legale stabilite de cetateni.
In ambele sisteme se cauta eliminarea indivizilor daunatori, in anarhie prin violenta, intr-un stat functional prin justitie (violenta monopolizata de stat).
Un stat nefunctional in care documentele falsifica realitatea, numarul de indivizi daunatori creste pana atinge un prag care declanseaza o riposta violenta a societatii.
Daca ai un bar intr-o anarhie, iei toate masurile pentru ca barul sa nu ia foc altfel vei fi linsat de rudele vicimelor. Te gandesti la ce poate lua foc, la cum stingi focul.
Daca esti intr-un stat functional urmezi procedurile autorizate de catre experti si te bazezi pe experienta lor pentru a preintampina rau.
In statul nostru cu tendinte anarhice, nu se alege nici una din variante, se merge pe coruperea statului prin hartii false, astfel incat parazitii sociali se hranesc pe seama poporului protejati de catre stat, pana cand zidurile de hartie sunt arse de catre natura si se trezesc goi si fara aparare.